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US plan sees Hezbollah disarmed by year-end, Israeli withdrawal

The United States has put forward a comprehensive proposal to disarm Hezbollah in Lebanon by the end of 2025, aiming to bring lasting peace to the region. This plan, presented by US envoy Tom Barrack, also calls for Israel to halt its military operations and withdraw from several positions in southern Lebanon. The proposal is currently under discussion in a Lebanese cabinet meeting, marking a significant step towards stabilizing the fragile ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel.

Details of the US Proposal

The US plan is divided into four phases, each with specific actions and deadlines:

  • Phase 1: Within 15 days, the Lebanese government must commit to fully disarming Hezbollah by December 31, 2025. In response, Israel would immediately cease all ground, air, and sea military operations in Lebanon.

  • Phase 2: Within 60 days, Lebanon must begin implementing the disarmament plan, with the government approving a detailed deployment strategy for the Lebanese army to ensure all weapons are under state control. During this phase, Israel would start withdrawing from some of its positions in southern Lebanon, and Lebanese prisoners held by Israel would be released through coordination with the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC).

  • Phase 3: Within 90 days, Israel would withdraw from the remaining two of the five positions it holds in southern Lebanon. Additionally, funding would be secured to begin clearing rubble and rehabilitating infrastructure in preparation for reconstruction efforts.

  • Phase 4: Within 120 days, Hezbollah must dismantle its remaining heavy weapons, including missiles and drones. Following this, the United States, Saudi Arabia, France, Qatar, and other allied nations would organize an economic conference to support Lebanon’s reconstruction and economic recovery, aligning with President Trump’s vision for a prosperous Lebanon.

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Context of the Conflict

The proposal comes in the wake of a devastating conflict that began in October 2023, when Hezbollah launched attacks on Israeli positions in support of Hamas during the Gaza war. Israel responded with a major offensive, inflicting significant damage on Hezbollah’s capabilities. A ceasefire was brokered in November 2024, but tensions have remained high, with frequent complaints of Israeli violations, including airstrikes and cross-border operations.

Reactions and Next Steps

So far, neither Hezbollah nor the Lebanese government has issued an official response to the US proposal. The Lebanese cabinet is currently reviewing the plan, and its decision could have far-reaching implications for the region’s stability.

Looking Ahead: Potential Impact

If implemented, this proposal could mark a turning point in the long-standing conflict between Lebanon and Israel. By disarming Hezbollah and securing Israel’s withdrawal, the plan aims to create a more secure and stable environment. However, the success of this initiative will depend on the cooperation of all parties involved, particularly Hezbollah, which has previously resisted calls to disarm. The international community’s support, as outlined in Phase 4, could also play a crucial role in rebuilding Lebanon and fostering economic growth.

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